Mobilization in Ukraine will gain momentum: The Washington Post provided a forecast

Those who have not yet joined the ranks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine have no reason to relax because mobilization will become more active in 2023. This analysis was provided in the article, based on information that was “leaked” from the Pentagon. It also says that the war will not end this year.

Empty promises

The article notes that currently, neither side has a concrete advantage. The situation will only deepen due to the fact that the Armed Forces of Ukraine will not receive all the weapons that were officially promised to them. This will be the reason that Ukraine will not make much progress on the front.

The second point is mobilization. Official Kyiv refrained from full mobilization since the beginning of the war.This was rational due to a number of factors:

• such actions would cause even greater panic among the population;
• there were enough qualified military personnel;
• it is difficult to maintain a large army financially.

Now the ranks of military personnel have thinned, so they need to be replenished. This is especially relevant before the warm season when fighting traditionally becomes more active than in the cold months. Because of this, it is planned to start recruiting young men aged 18-27, who were not previously taken into account.

The third wave of mobilization

Two waves have already happened, and each of them had its own characteristics:

• the first one took place at the beginning; they took people who have combat experience, and who are highly motivated;
• the second one at the end of 2022-beginning of 2023 was caused by a shortage of personnel; pressure and an increase in the number of distortions were already felt.

The third promises to become tougher.They will massively remove “reservations” at enterprises, postponements due to health conditions, etc. At the same time, the war will not end until 2024.